‘Consequences’ Articles

Still Driving

CB022007

My recent post DRiVE Me Crazy!, sparked a dialogue in the blogosphere and in particular, blogger Lisa (www.managementcraft.com) and I continued to trade thoughts.

Here is her last entry:

[Lisa] I believe in good, healthy, debate about things of importance like these, and I thank Aubrey Daniels for taking the time to share his thoughts on Management Craft. In his comment, he asked: “When you have a manager who for decades has never told one employee that he liked, valued or appreciated her work, how do you get him to the point of showing “admiration, gratitude, and care?”

[Lisa] This is a common problem, for sure. I would first ask, what is the root cause of the problem? On what basis is this manager deciding what to do, what to communicate, and how to manage? Often what I see is that the only training this manager has received has reinforced the wrong things (paternal practices, a focus on extrinsics, and that people are essentially machines – although it is usually phrased less directly) and that what needs to happen so that the manager can improve is a shift in his or her thinking about how to best manage people. Well intended structure with forms and check sheets will only reinforce the old and inadequate beliefs that underlie a detached management style.

Aubrey also asserts that he thinks we need to give managers pretty specific guidance. I wonder if he is suggesting that I think managers ought to be taught abstract and broad concepts and not trained on the specifics of what great management looks like. Actually, Aubrey, you and I agree that specifics are important. I think that the specifics we each recommend would be quite different, however (as related to motivation).

Also, I think that we know more about motivation – scientifically – than Daniels seems to believe.


My response

[Aubrey] In response to the question, “How do you get him (a manager who has never told one person that he liked, valued or appreciated their work) to the point of showing “admiration, gratitude, and care?” , you state, “I would first ask, what is the root cause of the problem?” My question to you is what if he told you that he never felt loved by his parents, that he studied engineering because he didn’t really like people and would rather work alone but because he was an excellent engineer he was promoted to supervise an engineering function?

What would all that information about his past do to help you get him to the point where he was sensitive to the effort and accomplishments of those who worked with him and for him? Would his history change what you would do? Frankly there are a lot of opinions about whether a cognitive or behavioral approach would solve the problem, but few who have these opinions have ever had the task of actually helping such a person make those changes.

Over the last 40 years we have worked with literally thousands of managers who had that problem and been successful in helping these people achieve what others who knew them – before and after – called a “personality transformation” and all without invading their privacy or personal history. I am not suggesting that what you would do would not be effective, but as the scientist would ask, “Which of the two was most efficient?” As a student of science, you understand parsimony. If two steps would solve the problem, why would we need three, assuming equal outcomes. Only science can reveal the answer.

On another point you say. “…what needs to happen so that the manager can improve is a shift in his or her thinking about how to best manage people.” I would not argue that point except to ask, how do you do that? How do you get people to shift their thinking? Do you tell them, persuade them, and convince them? I can tell you that these attempts are at best inefficient and there is much scientific evidence to support it. A shift in thinking seems to follow a shift in consequences – not the other way around.

You say, “Well intended structure with forms and check sheets will only reinforce the old and inadequate beliefs that underlie a detached management style.” I don’t know the research behind this statement. I do know that although forms and check sheets don’t change behavior, they can be used as a way to shape behavior from a “detached management style” to one that is involved and empowering.

You say that, “We know more about motivation – scientifically – than Daniels seems to believe.” I don’t know who “We” is but if you mean that there is more that science has learned than I know, you are correct. I spend some of every day trying to catch up with what science knows, but after 74 years I am beginning to think I never will. In the end Science doesn’t care what I believe. It is what it is. I only hope to know more of what is real.

My concern remains. Too many popular writers present ideas as though they are scientifically supported when they are not. Because it is difficult for most people to tell which are and which are not, they take action that produces unintended and often negative consequences.

 

The “Underwear Bomber” Incident – My two cents

underwear bomber

Almost everyone has written or talked ad nauseum about Abdul, etc. so I might as well weigh in.  I am reminded of one of our customers in the carpet hauling business where they would put carpet on a truck containing what was to the managers an obvious error.  They would then ship it so that it had to pass through many hands as it was moved from Dalton, GA to San Francisco, CA.  I really believe that the Quality/Customer Service managers hoped that it made it all the way to California, because that way they could chew ass from coast to coast, their big positive reinforcer.

Certainly with Abdul there was plenty of positive reinforcement to go around all the talk shows and bloggers.  Fire or not fire.  Reorganize, or not reorganize.  Change the procedures or not change them.  The ideas were legion. 

In my opinion, firing would accomplish nothing, except increase blame and hiding mistakes.  Reorganizing would just lead to more reorganizing in the future wasting time and taxpayer dollars.  Changing the procedures would be useless if you don’t understand why the current procedures are not being followed.  No, to me the problem is a rare error problem and because there is little understanding of the behavioral processes that produce the rare error, these errors will continue to occur, often with disastrous consequences.

Think for a moment of the number of people on the “no-fly list.”  Although the actual number on the list is secret, the guesses range from a few thousand to tens of thousands.  Even if the number is 100,000 that number is a very small percentage of the number passengers flying daily. 

It is estimated that there are about 2,000,000 people flying every day.  When you consider that only a fraction of those on the No Fly list fly, on any given day, it is possible that a million or more people could be screened without encountering a No-flier.  The behavioral problem is that looking for something that almost never occurs produces extinction of the “looking behavior.”  No matter how vigilant the performer tries to be, the low number of reinforcers produced by such low rates of occurrence is almost guaranteed to produce an absence of the desirable behaviors at all levels of the process.

The sad thing is that behavior analysts know how to keep employees throughout the TSA chain vigilant and even enthusiastic about that kind of behavior.  The technology requires training to the level of fluency and then following up with exposure in the real situation at frequencies high enough to maintain vigilance.  I suspect that TSA screeners are not trained to fluency and that “checks” are too infrequent to create high levels of alertness.

The problem is that the actions by the President and the various agencies will appear to work because the problem occurs at such at such an infrequent rate.  In other words, there might not be another incident for a couple of years if the government does nothing.

I continue to sound the same alarm.  Until executives in the security system understand behavior as a science, there is not a chance that the system will attain and maintain the integrity that the public expects.  Let’s just hope that we don’t continue to repeat the same solutions that don’t have a prayer of working in the long term before someone realizes that there is a behavioral solution.

The Folly of Early Commitment in Washington

j0255561As one who studies behavior for a living, I couldn’t help analyzing last week’s “horse-trading” in the Senate around the health care reform bill.  Do the leaders in Congress ever concern themselves with long-term consequences of their actions or is it that they just don’t understand the laws of behavior?  I think it is the latter because they think they are considering the long-term consequences, especially Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska who bargained his vote for a permanent dispensation for the Medicaid program in his state.  So let’s consider the laws of behavior as they relate to recent behavior in Washington.

The behavior is, “I am not going to vote for this bill as it currently stands.”  The consequence is millions of dollars for his/her state.  The laws of behavior predict more of that behavior in the future.  Will it be harder or easier to pass future legislation because of such inappropriate rewards?  You can bet that it will be harder.  Of the several Senators who were reluctant to vote for the bill, as far as I have been able to determine, all of them were paid to vote for it in the end.  Senator Mary Landrieu of Louisiana reportedly received $300 million in Medicaid subsidies for her state in what has been called by some, “the New Louisiana purchase.”  Senator Nelson reportedly received a permanent exemption for Nebraska from increases in Medicaid funding.  Interestingly, this was given to the state because Nelson was holding the Democrats hostage over the abortion language in the bill.  Personally, I don’t get it.  He was so concerned about the abortion issue that he capitulated when given Medicaid money.  Nelson’s response, “I didn’t ask for a special favor here, I didn’t ask for a carve out”   I guess because he didn’t ask for it, it makes it ok.  It seems like I remember many bribery cases where the same defense was mounted.

Putting issues of bribery, etc. aside, what is the impact of these decisions on the legislative process?  For one thing, it makes the other Senators look weak since they didn’t work as hard for the citizens of their states.  The other thing is that it shows them the advantages of holding out. Don’t be surprised if more hold out in the future.  If “holding out” is rewarded, you can bet there will be more of it.

Another defense that has been put forth by the leaders in Congress is that “this is the way the legislative process works.”  I have news for them.  That may be the way that it worked in the past when the “horse-trading” was done in smoked-filled back rooms in secret but with the new media, that can no longer be done.  Legislative actions are subject to different consequences now.  In the past Nelson’s behavior may not have come to light for months, if ever.  Now it is known almost immediately and he is already receiving considerable backlash, even within his state.

The other issue for Nelson is that if he thinks his decision has made him more popular in his state, I think he is in for a surprise.  I suspect that most Nebraskans don’t really care much about Medicaid because they don’t expect to be personally affected by it.  Most Nebraskans do care about the character and decisions of their Senator.  If he will sell out on one issue, what will it take for him to sell his vote on others?

Behavior is lawful.  We know that behavior that is positively reinforced will occur more often.  Stay tuned to see what behavior is being positively reinforced.  I am confident that Congressional leaders don’t know.  However, they won’t be able to keep it a secret because the increases in their behavior will give it away.

The reason some athletes think they are above the law is because they are!

umpireMy opinion of Falcon’s head coach, Mike Smith, dropped several notches week before last because of his action in the Babineaux case.  For those who don’t follow the Falcons NFL football team, Babineaux is a star defensive player for the Falcons.  He was arrested earlier in the week for felony possession of marijuana, an expired license tag, no valid driver’s license, really dark tinted windows, and a burned out tag light.  As one blogger wrote, “why not just wave a big banner saying, “STOP ME, I HAVE DRUGS!!” Jeez….some of these guys are just absolutely clueless.” (more…)

Missed Tackles + Missed Blocks = Tebow Tears:The Danger of Being #1

number1I confess to being a Gator fan. Darnell Lattal, President and CEO of ADI, is an Alabama graduate and fan. I don’t know what to call her, a Tide? I sure won’t call her an elephant. Alabama uniforms are not even crimson, but a kind of dull red. Crimson Tide, it’s a joke!  Enough bitterness (sour grapes), already. Alabama won and rightfully so.

I was deeply disappointed with the Florida loss to Alabama this weekend. It was so bad that my friends didn’t even tease me about it. While I was disappointed with the loss, I was not surprised because staying on top is very hard to do and I saw it coming. I believe the Gators won many of their games this year by not playing their best. In several games, they played only good enough to win. With the talent they have, I expected that they would blow the competition away but instead struggled with several teams on their schedule. Only one of their opponents, LSU, remains in the top 25 and the winning score, 13-3, could hardly be considered a rout.

 All of this aside, I am still a loyal Gator fan. However, it caused me to think about how difficult it is to be number 1. If you understand behavior, you realize that the natural consequences, particularly rewards and positive reinforcers, often work against bringing out the best in athletes, students and employees who are on top of their game. This is particularly true when the gap between number one and number two is large. What it means is that you can often execute poorly and still remain number one. In the case of the Gators, you can miss a few blocks, tackles and pass-coverages and still win. The problem is that skill sets become more variable every time the behavior is less than optimal but the outcome is good. In other words, you inadvertently get positively reinforced for bad habits. I believe this happened to the Gators for weeks until it caught up with them this weekend.

 If coaches, managers and leaders don’t have a good understanding of behavior, this is a usual ending. If the natural consequences don’t support the behaviors you need, then you have to create them. It is difficult for a coach or a manager to practice fundamentals with seasoned performers who are on top. However, it is absolutely necessary to prevent and correct the breakdown of critical behavior patterns. It takes a keen eye and knowledge of reinforcement to develop tactics to correct and prevent such occurrences. Success often causes performers to take their eyes off the ball as there are many things that dilute their focus – ask Tiger.

Avis Car Rental Company has it right. I don’t know about their execution but the natural consequences tend to favor number two in their competition with Hertz. Avis is reinforced for trying harder; Hertz is by remaining number one even when they really didn’t try harder.

I just hope that for the rest of this month, the Gators will get lots of drills on the basics so that when they tangle with the Cincinnati Bearcats in the Sugar Bowl all that will be left will be only a little fur and a full stomach for Albert, the alligator.

Does Money Make You Smart?

Let’s say that you make business decisions where the impact on the future of the business is not well-thought out. The decisions are praised by Wall Street but, even so, turn out to waste the resources of the business over the long term. Let’s also say that in an effort to grow the company fast, you buy assets above market value to close the deals quickly, hire talented employees and pay them outlandish wages in order to get up and running as soon as possible. You also have little understanding of how to effectively motivate people but believe that money is most effective. In particular, you believe that money will buy you the right talent, since you believe money is what matters most to talented people. Therefore, you either use salary, bonuses or other perks to motivate them.Then let’s say that as the result of current economic conditions, your company has fallen on hard times in no small part due to the excesses created by your growth strategy and financial excesses. (more…)

Talk Does Not Cook Rice

Kim Jong-Il

On hearing of the North Korea test of a nuclear bomb, Obama said, “The U.S. will take action.” I hope he will. However, I am afraid that he meant that he will get other people (U. N. and China) to tell North Korea to stop their nuclear program.

The title of this post is a Chinese proverb which contains a scientific discovery about behavior: antecedents don’t cause behavior, i.e., telling someone about consequences doesn’t change behavior unless the telling has been paired consistently with consequences in the past. One thing that we can count on about our government, past and present is that there is a lot more talking than there is action. This means, of course, that the application of consequences is inconsistent and the impact on behavior is questionable. (more…)