‘Behavior 101’ Articles

Do Behavioral Economists really understand the behavior part?

carrot and stickSomeone just sent me a YouTube video of Steven Levitt, co-author of Freakonomics, speaking to 1200 business leaders in London in 2007.  The YouTube video is titled, “Why Incentives Don’t Work.” Levitt said in response to a question that I could not hear, “In terms of carrot and stick, economists don’t have much to say.” The problem is that he didn’t stop there.  He went on to talk about how a company where his wife worked gave turkeys to employees (around Thanksgiving I suppose).  He related how the first year the turkeys were appreciated but by the third year they were complaining and quarrelling with management about them – they are smaller; can’t you give us something else; etc.

A beginning student in behavior analysis can tell you why management’s attempt to do something positive for employees worked this way.  Non-contingent reinforcement usually creates a long-term problem for a business. You value most what you earn, not what you are given.  As I have said many times, “If you give people something for nothing, you make them good for nothing.” Or “If you give people something for nothing, you can never satisfy them.” This is exactly what I believe happened in his Levitt’s wife’s company.  They gave them something for nothing.  I might add that there are cheaper ways to upset people.

He also says, and I certainly agree with him, that financial incentives are overrated.  I have spent my career in business helping businesses understand that money is only a very small part of motivation.   Much of what I have to say in OOPs is about how organizations waste time and money with poorly structured management and pay systems.

Levitt suggested that the solution to improving organizational performance is not with financial incentives but the ability, and I quote, “to cajole or trick employees to think they are doing something important.” While he prefaced this remark with a qualifier, “I know this is going to sound weird or bad,” it told me that he knows little about how to manage effectively and even less about how to create a workplace that brings out the best in people.

While he talked about Google as a great place to work, where I guess management there has found a way to “cajole or trick people into thinking they are doing something important,” he has nothing to say about how to create such a place anywhere else.  Creating such a place is not mysterious.  There is a technology in the science of behavior analysis that allows those who know it to create workplaces where people feel they are doing something important every day and without resorting to trickery.

As to whether incentives work, the problem is that they do work; they just don’t always work as they are planned.  This is because the contingencies of reinforcement are structured in a way that they reward results independent of the behavior that achieved them, which are often not what management wanted, or that they are structured in a way that inadvertently reinforces behavior that they don’t want.  Both these problems can be corrected by people who understand behavior.

Levitt was right when he said, “In terms of carrot and stick, economists don’t have much to say.” He should have stopped there and said, “Ask a behavior analyst.  They have a lot to say.”

The “Underwear Bomber” Incident – My two cents

underwear bomber

Almost everyone has written or talked ad nauseum about Abdul, etc. so I might as well weigh in.  I am reminded of one of our customers in the carpet hauling business where they would put carpet on a truck containing what was to the managers an obvious error.  They would then ship it so that it had to pass through many hands as it was moved from Dalton, GA to San Francisco, CA.  I really believe that the Quality/Customer Service managers hoped that it made it all the way to California, because that way they could chew ass from coast to coast, their big positive reinforcer.

Certainly with Abdul there was plenty of positive reinforcement to go around all the talk shows and bloggers.  Fire or not fire.  Reorganize, or not reorganize.  Change the procedures or not change them.  The ideas were legion. 

In my opinion, firing would accomplish nothing, except increase blame and hiding mistakes.  Reorganizing would just lead to more reorganizing in the future wasting time and taxpayer dollars.  Changing the procedures would be useless if you don’t understand why the current procedures are not being followed.  No, to me the problem is a rare error problem and because there is little understanding of the behavioral processes that produce the rare error, these errors will continue to occur, often with disastrous consequences.

Think for a moment of the number of people on the “no-fly list.”  Although the actual number on the list is secret, the guesses range from a few thousand to tens of thousands.  Even if the number is 100,000 that number is a very small percentage of the number passengers flying daily. 

It is estimated that there are about 2,000,000 people flying every day.  When you consider that only a fraction of those on the No Fly list fly, on any given day, it is possible that a million or more people could be screened without encountering a No-flier.  The behavioral problem is that looking for something that almost never occurs produces extinction of the “looking behavior.”  No matter how vigilant the performer tries to be, the low number of reinforcers produced by such low rates of occurrence is almost guaranteed to produce an absence of the desirable behaviors at all levels of the process.

The sad thing is that behavior analysts know how to keep employees throughout the TSA chain vigilant and even enthusiastic about that kind of behavior.  The technology requires training to the level of fluency and then following up with exposure in the real situation at frequencies high enough to maintain vigilance.  I suspect that TSA screeners are not trained to fluency and that “checks” are too infrequent to create high levels of alertness.

The problem is that the actions by the President and the various agencies will appear to work because the problem occurs at such at such an infrequent rate.  In other words, there might not be another incident for a couple of years if the government does nothing.

I continue to sound the same alarm.  Until executives in the security system understand behavior as a science, there is not a chance that the system will attain and maintain the integrity that the public expects.  Let’s just hope that we don’t continue to repeat the same solutions that don’t have a prayer of working in the long term before someone realizes that there is a behavioral solution.

Hope Springs Eternal

OptimisticI have quoted the poet, Alexander Pope, a lot lately, but he wrote so many good things.  He wrote, “Hope springs eternal in the human breast; …” 

As I think back about all the problems in our country now and look ahead to 2010, I am reminded of that quote.  Even though I have been pegged as the eternal optimist by many, some things get me down.  When I see so many problems in the world and know that we have the knowledge and technology to solve them and still see business writers, leaders and politicians who in attempt to make the world a better place, make it worse because they don’t know the science of human behavior, it can depress one.  However, as I look to the horizon, I am reminded of David Palmer’s words that I quoted in OOPS:

                “Science is like a river, flowing inexorably downstream, freshened and swollen by rivulets of data.  Our attempts to dam or divert it are too puny to prevail for long against the gathering weight; sooner or later all obstacles are swept away, and the river resumes its natural course.  We can force Galileo to recant, but we cannot force the earth to stand still, eventually the astronomer is vindicated.”

We can accelerate or slow change, but we cannot stop it.  The laws of nature prevail. 

Skinner wrote in The Shame of American Education that, “A culture that is not willing to accept scientific advances made in the understanding of human behavior will eventually be replaced by one that is.”

I am optimistic because I have seen an increasing number of people this year who understand how the science of behavior (behavior analysis), can lead to a more productive, happy and peaceful world and I know that number will increase in 2010.

While I am optimistic, I am impatient because it can’t happen too soon.


Resources:

OOPS! 13 Management Practices that Waste Time & Money (and what to do instead).

B.F. Skinner From A to Z

Missed Tackles + Missed Blocks = Tebow Tears:The Danger of Being #1

number1I confess to being a Gator fan. Darnell Lattal, President and CEO of ADI, is an Alabama graduate and fan. I don’t know what to call her, a Tide? I sure won’t call her an elephant. Alabama uniforms are not even crimson, but a kind of dull red. Crimson Tide, it’s a joke!  Enough bitterness (sour grapes), already. Alabama won and rightfully so.

I was deeply disappointed with the Florida loss to Alabama this weekend. It was so bad that my friends didn’t even tease me about it. While I was disappointed with the loss, I was not surprised because staying on top is very hard to do and I saw it coming. I believe the Gators won many of their games this year by not playing their best. In several games, they played only good enough to win. With the talent they have, I expected that they would blow the competition away but instead struggled with several teams on their schedule. Only one of their opponents, LSU, remains in the top 25 and the winning score, 13-3, could hardly be considered a rout.

 All of this aside, I am still a loyal Gator fan. However, it caused me to think about how difficult it is to be number 1. If you understand behavior, you realize that the natural consequences, particularly rewards and positive reinforcers, often work against bringing out the best in athletes, students and employees who are on top of their game. This is particularly true when the gap between number one and number two is large. What it means is that you can often execute poorly and still remain number one. In the case of the Gators, you can miss a few blocks, tackles and pass-coverages and still win. The problem is that skill sets become more variable every time the behavior is less than optimal but the outcome is good. In other words, you inadvertently get positively reinforced for bad habits. I believe this happened to the Gators for weeks until it caught up with them this weekend.

 If coaches, managers and leaders don’t have a good understanding of behavior, this is a usual ending. If the natural consequences don’t support the behaviors you need, then you have to create them. It is difficult for a coach or a manager to practice fundamentals with seasoned performers who are on top. However, it is absolutely necessary to prevent and correct the breakdown of critical behavior patterns. It takes a keen eye and knowledge of reinforcement to develop tactics to correct and prevent such occurrences. Success often causes performers to take their eyes off the ball as there are many things that dilute their focus – ask Tiger.

Avis Car Rental Company has it right. I don’t know about their execution but the natural consequences tend to favor number two in their competition with Hertz. Avis is reinforced for trying harder; Hertz is by remaining number one even when they really didn’t try harder.

I just hope that for the rest of this month, the Gators will get lots of drills on the basics so that when they tangle with the Cincinnati Bearcats in the Sugar Bowl all that will be left will be only a little fur and a full stomach for Albert, the alligator.

Young Entrepreneurs Get It

j0439442I spoke last week to a group of 500 managers at Fortune Small Business Growth Summit, a yearly conference in Dallas organized by Verne Harnish. The group was composed of small business owners and their key managers. (By the way, according to the Small Business Administration (SBA) in certain classifications a business can have over $175,000,000 in sales and up to 1500 employees and still be considered small.) The youthfulness of this group is important for a couple of reasons. First, they are quick to see the advantages of arranging conditions for change through rapid reinforcement and secondly, they are dedicated to early adoption of strategies that will make their businesses successful.

When you explain the science of behavior to this audience, they get it! The reason for the exclamation point is that I have spoken to thousands of more seasoned managers who take a long time to get it-and some never really understand the importance and value this technology brings to their businesses. A common question I got from these managers was, “When can you help me do this.” The seasoned managers often say, “Sounds good, but I’m going to have to think about it some more.” When I was presenting in India in 2005 I was frequently asked after presenting the 13 Oops, “Should we change all thirteen at once or one at a time.” They didn’t question whether to do it, rather how to do it. This bias for action is one of the reasons that young Indian managers believe that India will soon become the dominant player in global business.

The new generation of managers gets positive reinforcement. They have grown up with it all around them. Often older managers have to be convinced that positive reinforcement is vital to maximizing organizational performance. Not so with younger managers. Don Tapscott wrote a book, Grown Up Digital, a sequel to Growing Up Digital. To paraphrase him in Growing Up Digital, the present generation is the first generation in the world to know something of significance to society more than their parents. Those who have grown up digital, people born in the last 20 years or so have lived in an environment where each year of their lives has produced more positive reinforcement for their behavior than the last. Think video games, Facebook, Twitter, etc.

For a number of years I spoke to classes of young entrepreneurs at an MIT program called Birthing of Giants. More than 95% said they started their companies because they felt that they were undervalued and underappreciated for the contributions they made. When I asked them what management model they used to manage their own companies a sense of shock comes over them almost immediately as they realize that they manage in the same way as the company they hated and left. In growing their businesses they have all experienced management problems and when the science of behavior (behavior analysis) is explained, they get it.

When young managers imbed positive reinforcement into their business processes and into their management systems, larger competitors had better watch out. Since positive reinforcement accelerates behavior, which accelerates performance, which accelerates profits it becomes clear to me that soon many of these companies will be snapping at the heels of their now much larger competitors.

I am biased by my reinforcement history like everyone else, but I am very confident that after 40 years of working with managers and executives on accelerating business performance, the future belongs to those who can apply the science of behavior to organizational design, strategy and execution. My recent history tells me that young people are doing this at a much faster rate than older executives realize. It is not the businesses that change that will survive; it is the rate of change that is important. Positive reinforcement accelerates change. I hope you get it.

Does Money Make You Smart?

Let’s say that you make business decisions where the impact on the future of the business is not well-thought out. The decisions are praised by Wall Street but, even so, turn out to waste the resources of the business over the long term. Let’s also say that in an effort to grow the company fast, you buy assets above market value to close the deals quickly, hire talented employees and pay them outlandish wages in order to get up and running as soon as possible. You also have little understanding of how to effectively motivate people but believe that money is most effective. In particular, you believe that money will buy you the right talent, since you believe money is what matters most to talented people. Therefore, you either use salary, bonuses or other perks to motivate them.Then let’s say that as the result of current economic conditions, your company has fallen on hard times in no small part due to the excesses created by your growth strategy and financial excesses. (more…)

Expert Performance: Apologies to Dr. Ericsson, but it is not 10,000 hours of deliberate practice

basketballDr. Anders Ericsson’s research on expertise has finally received some good attention in Malcolm Gladwell’s book, Outliers and Geoff Colvin’s book, Talent Is Overrated. These books place a new emphasis on behavior and designing in deliberate practice to get to extraordinary performance. Ericsson (1990)¹ says that it takes 10,000 hours (20 hours for 50 weeks a year for ten years = 10,000) of deliberate practice to become an expert in almost anything. I appreciate the emphasis that Dr. Ericsson’s research has brought to the importance of experience in the development of expertise as opposed to some innate intelligence or talent that is often assumed to be beyond ‘training’. In fact, however, it cannot be hours or years of practice that makes the difference. (more…)

Google is looking for answers in the wrong place

googleplex

In a May 19th article in the WSJ, Scott Morrison wrote, Google Searches for Staffing Answers.  The article is about the fact that Google has recently lost a number of top executives and other midlevel employees.  Google’s approach to solving this problem is what you would expect, given the nature of their business.  They are working on a mathematical formula to predict employees who are likely to quit.

I will be interested to know what Google plans to do when they find these people.  No doubt there will be a lot of false positives, i.e., people who they identify as likely to quit, when in fact they have no intention of quitting.  But in any event, once they have a list, what will they do?  Will they give them a raise, a new benefit, a promotion or a new title?  Any one of these actions will create more problems for the company than it will solve. (more…)

Talk Does Not Cook Rice

Kim Jong-Il

On hearing of the North Korea test of a nuclear bomb, Obama said, “The U.S. will take action.” I hope he will. However, I am afraid that he meant that he will get other people (U. N. and China) to tell North Korea to stop their nuclear program.

The title of this post is a Chinese proverb which contains a scientific discovery about behavior: antecedents don’t cause behavior, i.e., telling someone about consequences doesn’t change behavior unless the telling has been paired consistently with consequences in the past. One thing that we can count on about our government, past and present is that there is a lot more talking than there is action. This means, of course, that the application of consequences is inconsistent and the impact on behavior is questionable. (more…)

Bonuses don’t work? It’s Elementary, Dear Watson

I read an article from the New Zealand Herald by Simon Caulkin (3.16.09) that caused me to alternate between depression and excitement. The title of the article is: Bonuses boost performance? Sorry, but it’s the very opposite.

My depression comes form the fact that it is just more evidence that people like Mr. Caulkin don’t have even an elementary understanding of behavior — how to get behavior and how to sustain it. The excitement is that because our business is about helping business people understand and apply the science of behavior to change the way the world works. His article tells me that there is a lot of business yet to be done. (more…)